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By Π’ΡΡΡΠΈΠ½ ΠΠ΅ΡΡ ΠΠ°Π»Π΅Π½ΡΠΈΠ½ΠΎΠ²ΠΈΡ
ΠΠ΅ΡΡ Π’ΡΡΡΠΈΠ½, 2024, Π‘Π΅ΡΠΈΡ "ΠΠΈΡΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠΉ ΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ΄ΠΎΠΊ"
ΠΠ΅ΡΡ Π’ΡΡΡΠΈΠ½, ΡΠΏΠ΅ΡΠΈΠ°Π»ΠΈΡΡ Π² ΠΎΠ±Π»Π°ΡΡΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠΏΡΠ»ΡΡΠΈΠΎΠ½Π½ΠΎΠΉ Π΄ΠΈΠ½Π°ΠΌΠΈΠΊΠΈ ΠΈ ΠΌΠ°ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΌΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π»ΠΈΡΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΈΡΡΠΎΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ Π΄ΠΈΠ½Π°ΠΌΠΈΠΊΠΈ, ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΠΏΡΠ΅ΠΆΠ΄Π°Π΅Ρ ΠΎ Π³ΡΡΠ΄ΡΡΠΈΡ ΡΠΎΡΠΈΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΠΈ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΈΡ ΡΠ΅Π½Π΄Π΅Π½ΡΠΈΡΡ . Π ΠΊΠ½ΠΈΠ³Π΅ "ΠΠΎΠ½Π΅Ρ Π²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½" ΠΎΠ½ ΠΈΡΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΡΠ΅Ρ ΠΊΠ»ΡΡΠ΅Π²ΡΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠΎΠ±Π»Π΅ΠΌΡ ΡΠΎΠ²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½Π½ΠΎΠ³ΠΎ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²Π°, ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄Π²Π΅ΡΠ°ΡΡΠΈΠ΅ ΠΏΠ΅ΡΠΈΠΎΠ΄ Π³ΡΠ°ΠΆΠ΄Π°Π½ΡΠΊΠΈΡ Π±Π΅ΡΠΏΠΎΡΡΠ΄ΠΊΠΎΠ², ΡΠ°Π·Π΄ΠΎΡΠΎΠ² ΠΈ Π²ΠΎΠΉΠ½. ΠΠ²ΡΠΎΡ Π²ΡΠ΄Π΅Π»ΡΠ΅Ρ ΡΡΠΈ ΡΡΠ½Π΄Π°ΠΌΠ΅Π½ΡΠ°Π»ΡΠ½ΡΡ ΠΈΡΡΠΎΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊΠ° ΡΡΠΈΡ Π½Π΅Π΄ΡΠ³ΠΎΠ²: ΡΡΠ΅Π·ΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΎΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠΎΠΈΠ·Π²ΠΎΠ΄ΡΡΠ²ΠΎ ΡΠ»ΠΈΡ, ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅Π΅ ΡΠ½ΠΈΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΡΠΎΠ²Π½Ρ ΠΆΠΈΠ·Π½ΠΈ ΠΈ Π½Π΅ΡΠΏΠΎΡΠΎΠ±Π½ΠΎΡΡΡ ΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΠΈΡΠ΅Π»ΡΡΡΠ² Π²ΡΠΏΠΎΠ»Π½ΡΡΡ ΡΠ²ΠΎΠΈ ΡΡΠ½ΠΊΡΠΈΠΈ. ΠΡΠΈ ΡΠ°ΠΊΡΠΎΡΡ, ΠΏΠΎ ΠΌΠ½Π΅Π½ΠΈΡ Π’ΡΡΡΠΈΠ½Π°, Π·Π°ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΠΎΠΌΠ΅ΡΠ½ΠΎ Π²Π΅Π΄ΡΡ ΠΎΠ±ΡΠ΅ΡΡΠ²ΠΎ ΠΊ "ΠΊΠΎΠ½ΡΡ Π²ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠ΅Π½", Π·Π° ΠΊΠΎΡΠΎΡΡΠΌ ΡΠ»Π΅Π΄ΡΡΡ Π½ΠΎΠ²ΡΠ΅ ΡΠΈΠΊΠ»Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠΊΠΎΠΉ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΈ ΠΈ Π΄Π΅Π·ΠΈΠ½ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ°ΡΠΈΠΈ.
Petr Turchin, 2024, "World Order" Series
Petr Turchin, a specialist in population dynamics and mathematical modeling of historical dynamics, warns of impending social and political trends. In "The End of Times," he examines key problems in contemporary society that foreshadow a period of civil unrest, discord, and war. The author identifies three fundamental sources for these ills: elite overproduction, a general decline in living standards, and governments' inability to fulfill their functions. These factors, according to Turchin, naturally lead society to an "end of times," followed by new cycles of political integration and disintegration.